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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Although Chesterfield lost their unbeaten record last time out, it was against the league leaders. With that in mind, we are expecting Cook's side to bounce back in a competitive fixture, extending Grimsby's losing streak on their travels to three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
51.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.85% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.192 0.19)45.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.183 0.18)67.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)17.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.18 0.18)68.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.48%
    Grimsby Town 24.85%
    Draw 23.67%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.48%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
52.8%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-1
Chesterfield

Coke (48')
Tshimanga (84')
Weston (85')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Grimsby Town
Dennis (82')
Donohue (5'), Dennis (86')
Evatt (83')
Clarke (33'), Jones (39'), Davies (85' pen.)
Mills (88')
Mills (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210
> League Two Full Table


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