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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Although Chesterfield lost their unbeaten record last time out, it was against the league leaders. With that in mind, we are expecting Cook's side to bounce back in a competitive fixture, extending Grimsby's losing streak on their travels to three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
51.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.85% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.192 0.19)45.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.183 0.18)67.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)17.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.18 0.18)68.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.48%
    Grimsby Town 24.85%
    Draw 23.67%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.48%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
52.8%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-1
Chesterfield

Coke (48')
Tshimanga (84')
Weston (85')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Grimsby Town
Dennis (82')
Donohue (5'), Dennis (86')
Evatt (83')
Clarke (33'), Jones (39'), Davies (85' pen.)
Mills (88')
Mills (88')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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