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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Grimsby Town

Accrington
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Woods (9', 82'), Whalley (60' pen.)
Love (35'), Coyle (44'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Green (5'), Khouri (39')
Khouri (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Grimsby Town

Accrington have been struggling since their loss in the reverse fixture, and are not likely to fare any better on Wednesday. Grimsby will be keen to keep up with the pack of clubs fighting for the automatic promotion spot behind Walsall, and it is difficult to picture anything other than a routine win for the visitors on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
32.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 26.44% (-0.169 -0.17) 41.24% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.641 0.64)52.65% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.547 0.55)74.3% (-0.54599999999999 -0.55)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.229 0.23)30.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.27200000000001 0.27)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.45 0.45)25.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.617 0.62)59.91% (-0.619 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 32.32%
    Grimsby Town 41.24%
    Draw 26.43%
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Accrington vs Grimsby Town

Accrington Stanley
30.3%
Draw
18.2%
Grimsby Town
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
5-2
Accrington
Rodgers (2'), Luker (11'), Obikwu (19'), Davies (33' pen.), Aljofree (68' og.)
Henderson (63'), Woods (79')
Khumbeni (31'), Love (40'), Hunter (89'), Hunter (90+3'), O'Brien (90+4')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
0-0
Grimsby Town
Woods (49')
Hume (79')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Grimsby Town
0-2
Accrington

Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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