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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
50.28% ( -0.38) | 23.16% ( 0.16) | 26.56% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.56% ( -0.52) | 41.44% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.16% ( -0.53) | 63.84% ( 0.53) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( -0.33) | 16.63% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( -0.59) | 46.46% ( 0.59) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.11) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.13) | 64.63% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |