Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
50.28% ( -0.38) | 23.16% ( 0.16) | 26.56% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.56% ( -0.52) | 41.44% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.16% ( -0.53) | 63.84% ( 0.53) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( -0.33) | 16.63% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( -0.59) | 46.46% ( 0.59) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.11) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.13) | 64.63% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |