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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
50.28% ( -0.38) | 23.16% ( 0.16) | 26.56% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.56% ( -0.52) | 41.44% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.16% ( -0.53) | 63.84% ( 0.53) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( -0.33) | 16.63% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( -0.59) | 46.46% ( 0.59) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0.11) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0.13) | 64.63% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |