League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Payne (66')
Williams (45+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pyke (20')
Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 2-4 MK Dons
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Grimsby Town
45.79% ( 0.22)	24.18% ( -0.11)	30.02% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

0.43)

43.81% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

0.42)

66.2% (

-0.42)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

0.26)

19.29% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

0.43)

51.04% (

-0.43)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

0.14)

27.57% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

0.18)

63.09% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 45.79%

Grimsby Town 30.02%

Draw 24.18%

MK Dons	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.79%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.02%