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Accrington Stanley
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Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Walsall

Accrington
2 - 1
Walsall

Leigh (9'), Pritchard (57')
Woods (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Draper (45+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Walsall

The sides boast similar records at the back heading into this one, but Accrington just about have the upper hand in front of goal. That said, we can see the spoils being share come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWalsall
38.44% (-0.592 -0.59) 24.94% (0.093 0.09) 36.62% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.393 -0.39)45.39% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.376 -0.38)67.73% (0.375 0.38)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)23.38% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.698 -0.7)57.36% (0.696 0.7)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (0.091999999999999 0.09)24.35% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (0.128 0.13)58.75% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.44%
    Walsall 36.62%
    Draw 24.93%
Accrington StanleyDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.44%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.067 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Accrington vs Walsall

Accrington Stanley
53.1%
Draw
31.3%
Walsall
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Sykes (11', 69')
Finley (63')
Devlin (33')
Kinsella (45'), Scarr (80'), Gordon (81'), Cook (84'), Leahy (88')
Gordon (84')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Walsall
0-1
Accrington

Fitzwater (85')
Kee (7' pen.)
McConville (26'), Clark (31')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Walsall
3-2
Accrington
Keates (75' pen.), Harper (21'), Butler (85')
Keates (77')
Williams (65'), Mullin (25')
Williams (66'), Whalley (73')
Oct 21, 2006 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Walsall
Craney (78')
Edwards (24')
Wright (85'), Sam (40')
Constable (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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