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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
53.96% ( -0.46) | 23.14% ( 0.35) | 22.91% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( -1.4) | 44.82% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% ( -1.37) | 67.18% ( 1.37) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.46% ( -0.66) | 16.54% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.7% ( -1.2) | 46.3% ( 1.21) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.42% ( -0.67) | 33.58% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.74) | 70.23% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |