League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Harrogate

Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Harrogate Town

This should be a close affair, but we are giving the home side the edge because they have been more consistent and have a little more quality in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
53.96% ( -0.46)	23.14% ( 0.35)	22.91% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-1.4)

44.82% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

-1.37)

67.18% (

1.37)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

-0.66)

16.54% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.7% (

-1.2)

46.3% (

1.21)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.67)

33.58% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

-0.74)

70.23% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 53.96%

Harrogate Town 22.91%

Draw 23.13%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.96%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.91%