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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
42.18% ( -0.01) | 27.98% ( -0) | 29.83% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.76% ( 0.01) | 59.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( 0.01) | 79.66% ( -0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0) | 27.73% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -0) | 63.3% ( 0) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% ( 0.02) | 35.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% ( 0.02) | 72.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 29.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |