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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
26.44% (![]() | 25.55% (![]() | 48.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% (![]() | 51.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% (![]() | 73.59% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% (![]() | 34.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% (![]() | 71.08% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% (![]() | 21.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.29% (![]() | 54.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 7.93% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 11.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 69 |
3 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 64 |
4 | Port Vale | 37 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 64 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Notts County | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 62 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 59 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 58 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 58 |
10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
11 | Chesterfield | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 52 |
12 | Bromley | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 50 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 50 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 48 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 46 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45 |
18 | MK Dons | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 45 |
19 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 41 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 37 |
23 | Morecambe | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 30 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 30 |
> League Two Full Table |