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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 0
Crewe

FT

Demetriou (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

While Crewe Alexandra enter this match with a much better record this season, Swindon Town have been very impressive at home since the arrival of Ian Holloway, and we feel that they will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.142 -0.14) 26.87% (0.181 0.18) 32.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.732 -0.73)54.21% (0.73500000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.616 -0.62)75.61% (0.617 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)26.46% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.556 -0.56)61.64% (0.559 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.393 -0.39)30.81% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.465 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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