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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Swindon

Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Stockport
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Although their places in the table indicate two well-matched teams, that is not the case when it comes to form. While Swindon may turn things around at some stage, we are backing Harrogate to collect another victory that will move them closer to the top seven. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
23.45% (-1.768 -1.77) 21.53% (-0.786 -0.79) 55.02% (2.553 2.55)
Both teams to score 61.77% (0.72900000000001 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (1.876 1.88)36.77% (-1.878 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (2.01 2.01)58.93% (-2.012 -2.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.366 -0.37)28.67% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.459 -0.46)64.49% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (1.456 1.46)13.4% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (2.85 2.85)40.33% (-2.852 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.45%
    Swindon Town 55.02%
    Draw 21.53%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.45%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.5% (0.363 0.36)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.187 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.341 0.34)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.296 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.198 0.2)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.02%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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