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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Swindon

Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Stockport
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Although their places in the table indicate two well-matched teams, that is not the case when it comes to form. While Swindon may turn things around at some stage, we are backing Harrogate to collect another victory that will move them closer to the top seven. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
23.45% (-1.768 -1.77) 21.53% (-0.786 -0.79) 55.02% (2.553 2.55)
Both teams to score 61.77% (0.72900000000001 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (1.876 1.88)36.77% (-1.878 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (2.01 2.01)58.93% (-2.012 -2.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.366 -0.37)28.67% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.459 -0.46)64.49% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (1.456 1.46)13.4% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (2.85 2.85)40.33% (-2.852 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.45%
    Swindon Town 55.02%
    Draw 21.53%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.45%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.5% (0.363 0.36)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.187 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.341 0.34)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.296 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.198 0.2)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.02%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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