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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Harrogate Town has a probability of 26.18% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win is 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
49.8% ( 0.74) | 24.03% ( -0.4) | 26.18% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( 1.47) | 45.64% ( -1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.03% ( 1.38) | 67.97% ( -1.38) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( 0.86) | 18.39% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( 1.44) | 49.54% ( -1.45) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( 0.51) | 31.29% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( 0.59) | 67.64% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
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