Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.