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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Apr 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
1 - 1
Carlisle

Hussey (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
44.91%27.7%27.39%
Both teams to score 45.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73%59.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.68%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55%61.45%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6%74.4%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 44.9%
    Carlisle United 27.39%
    Draw 27.7%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carlisle
2-0
Cheltenham
Devitt (49'), Hope (56')

Alcock (35')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle

Forster (21'), Debayo (43'), Boyle (59'), Tozer (68')
Bennett (39')
Etuhu (32'), Gerrard (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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