Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.