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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
2 - 1
Colchester

Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29'), Swan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newby (10')
Chambers (85'), Dallison (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Colchester United

Mansfield have been in poor form in recent weeks, but this game serves as a good opportunity to get their season back on track. The Stags do not have a great defensive record, so they may concede, but they should have too much quality for Colchester to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
62.4% (-0.892 -0.89) 22.59% (0.398 0.4) 15.01% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.615 -0.62)53.62% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.522 -0.52)75.12% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.514 -0.51)16.72% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.935 -0.93)46.62% (0.937 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (0.348 0.35)47.66% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (0.254 0.25)82.98% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 62.39%
    Colchester United 15.01%
    Draw 22.59%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.01%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Colchester United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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