MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 23:43:59| >> :600:286018:286018:
Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Colchester
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Sears (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Connolly (53'), Saunders (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides come into this knockout tie after important home wins in their respective leagues at the weekend, so neither will be fearing their opposition and should be eyeing an enjoyable run in the competition. Colchester looked impressive in their win over Doncaster but an assignment against an in-form Bristol Rovers from the league above may prove too much for The U's on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
42.73% (-0.163 -0.16) 24.86% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 32.41% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.182 -0.18)45.86% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.173 -0.17)68.17% (0.17 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)21.49% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.235 -0.23)54.53% (0.233 0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.73%
    Bristol Rovers 32.41%
    Draw 24.86%
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Colchester vs Bristol Rovers

Colchester United
26.7%
Draw
24.4%
Bristol Rovers
48.9%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Chilvers (88')
Sarpong-Wiredu (36'), Chambers (45+1'), Dobra (63'), Eastman (65')
Tchamadeu (90+1')
Pitman (59')
Harries (51'), Coutts (88')
Harries (87'), Clarke (90+1')
May 7, 2011 3pm
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Colchester

Senda (67')
Odejayi (22')
Heath (72'), Beevers (76')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-2
Colchester
Lines (79'), Blizzard (16'), Kuffour (67')
Elliott (58')
O'Toole (21')
Wordsworth (6'), Batth (24'), Ifil (67'), Tierney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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