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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Bradford City |
51.88% ( 0.52) | 25.11% ( -0.23) | 23.01% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.16% ( 0.6) | 52.84% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.54% ( 0.51) | 74.46% ( -0.51) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.46) | 20.36% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( 0.72) | 52.77% ( -0.72) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( 0.06) | 37.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( 0.05) | 74.72% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.88% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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