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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
47.64% ( -2.05) | 25.51% ( 0.48) | 26.85% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( -0.8) | 51.42% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( -0.7) | 73.23% ( 0.71) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -1.2) | 21.59% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( -1.89) | 54.69% ( 1.89) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.87) | 33.83% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0.93) | 70.49% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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