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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Colchester United |
51.49% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() | 21.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.31% (![]() | 60.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.24% (![]() | 80.76% (![]() |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% (![]() | 23.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% (![]() | 57.96% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.11% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.96% (![]() | 80.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.99% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.76% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 8.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 60 |
5 | Notts County | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Port Vale | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Salford City | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 46 |
15 | Chesterfield | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 45 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |