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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
61.55% ( 0.13) | 21.27% ( -0.05) | 17.17% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.43% ( 0.11) | 44.56% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( 0.11) | 66.93% ( -0.11) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( 0.07) | 13.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.56% ( 0.15) | 41.43% ( -0.15) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% ( -0.02) | 39.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.93% ( -0.02) | 76.07% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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