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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
33.87% (![]() | 26.29% | 39.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.33% (![]() | 51.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% (![]() | 73.45% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% | 28.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% (![]() | 64.83% (![]() |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% (![]() | 25.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% (![]() | 60.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 9.14% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |