League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 2Colchester
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Bradford City | 46 | -2 | 58 |
| 15 | Colchester United | 46 | -12 | 55 |
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | -13 | 54 |
We said: Newport County 2-0 Colchester United
There will be some who regard this contest as a 50-50 match given Colchester's recent efforts to avoid relegation. However, with the pressure on Newport to play on the front foot, we feel that the home side will come through with the win, possibly helped by an early goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 51.63% | 24.03% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 54.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
