League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 3
Hartlepool

Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Walsall	46	-13	54
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53

We said: Newport County 2-1 Hartlepool United

With their confidence growing each week, we back Newport to stretch their winning run to four league games on Friday. The Exiles will know they need to keep positing victories to remain in the top three, and, against a Hartlepool side in a slight dip, Rowberry's side are likely to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
58.92%	22.9%	18.18%

Both teams to score 48.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18%

49.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18%

71.82%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62%

46.37%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71%

41.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18%

77.81%

Score Analysis

Newport County 58.92%

Hartlepool United 18.18%

Draw 22.89%

Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 58.92%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 6.06% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.18%