

Northampton3 - 0Carlisle
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
38.99% | 27.72% | 33.29% |
Both teams to score 48.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.6% | 57.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.78% | 78.22% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% | 28.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% | 64.45% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% | 32.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.31% | 68.69% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.29% |