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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 2pm UK
Sixfields
Carlisle United

Northampton
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
38.99%27.72%33.29%
Both teams to score 48.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.6%57.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78%78.22%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.45%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8%32.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31%68.69%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.99%
    Carlisle United 33.29%
    Draw 27.71%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
0-2
Northampton
Pollock (51'), Hoskins (92')
Waters (58'), McWilliams (76')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Bridge (48', 62'), Morias (72')
McWilliams (54')

Etuhu (32'), Hope (77')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carlisle
2-2
Northampton
Devitt (30'), Hope (63')
Liddle (10')
Van Veen (40'), Crooks (62')
Crooks (8'), Pierre (28'), Hoskins (45')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Northampton
Hope (47')
Hery (45'), Atkinson (65')
Marquis (16'), O'Toole (33', 59'), Collins (74')
Buchanan (45'), Marquis (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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