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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Northampton Town

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Northampton

Ferguson (53'), Molyneux (83')
Ferguson (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hoskins (51')
Hoskins (66'), McGowan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
46.8%27.42%25.78%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81%59.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38%79.61%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88%60.11%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31%75.68%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 46.8%
    Northampton Town 25.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Northampton

Hartlepool United
44.8%
Draw
37.9%
Northampton Town
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Northampton
5-1
Hartlepool
Richards (12' pen., 76'), Mohamed (20', 35'), D'Ath (67')
Wyke (1')
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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