League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Mar 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
1 - 3
Sutton

Sutton (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Korboa (20', 49'), Beautyman (77' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38
24	Scunthorpe United	46	-61	26

Sutton United

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-2 Sutton United

While they have been far from their best in recent weeks, we expect Sutton to make a return to winning ways on Tuesday. They meet an Oldham side lacking any momentum, and Gray's men will hope to get their playoff push back on track with an away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Sutton United
25.86%	25.8%	48.33%

Both teams to score 50.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78%

53.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22%

74.78%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97%

22.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64%

55.36%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 25.87%

Sutton United 48.33%

Draw 25.8%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 8.1% 2-1 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.87%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.33%