League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Sutton

Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Sutton United

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Sutton United

Sutton United will be looking to quickly bounce back to winning ways after their slender defeat against Walsall on Saturday. However, they go up against a solid Swindon Town side who have won three of their last four home games. With just one point between the sides in the table, we expect a cagey affair on Tuesday with the spoils being shared at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Sutton United
48.92%	25.41%	25.66%

Both teams to score 51.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16%

51.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4%

73.6%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79%

21.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9%

54.1%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98%

35.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23%

71.77%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 48.91%

Sutton United 25.66%

Draw 25.41%

Swindon Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.91%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.08% Total : 25.66%