MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 16:57:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Vale Park
Notts County

Port Vale
1 - 0
Notts County

Curtis (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Port Vale
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Notts County

It is difficult to see Port Vale creating many chances against Notts County considering the visitors have been exceptional defensively in recent weeks. The away side will feel confident that they can secure a positive result given the hosts have struggled for consistency at home, and they should come into Thursday's clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawNotts County
38.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.01% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.019000000000005 0.02)57.81% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 38.81%
    Notts County 36.01%
    Draw 25.17%
Port ValeDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.01%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Notts County

Port Vale
12.1%
Draw
36.4%
Notts County
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
0-1
Port Vale

Platt (11'), Robertson (22'), Gordon (67')
Tolaj (23')
Curtis (33'), Paton (54'), Cover (77'), Hall (77')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
0-0
Port Vale
Conlon (40'), Pope (62')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
2-2
Notts County
Hannant (13'), Pope (89')
Hemmings (22'), Ward (87')
Tootle (30'), Boldewijn (84')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Port Vale
Stead (86' pen.)
Duffy (31'), Hewitt (74')

Pope (56'), Davis (90')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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