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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Morecambe win it is 0-1 (4.14%).
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Morecambe |
66.91% ( -0.74) | 19.09% ( -0.37) | 14% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( 4.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.98% ( 4.24) | 41.02% ( -4.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.59% ( 4.19) | 63.41% ( -4.19) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( 1.03) | 11.35% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.95% ( 2.2) | 36.05% ( -2.2) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( 4.36) | 41.37% ( -4.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( 3.63) | 77.89% ( -3.62) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 11.11% ( -1.24) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -1.61) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.51) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.89% Total : 66.9% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.97) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.23) Other @ 1.6% Total : 14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |