Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.