Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.