EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Exeter5 - 3Bristol Rovers
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 43.96% | 25.3% | 30.74% |
| Both teams to score 55.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
