Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colchester United in this match.
