Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.