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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Mansfield Town

Sutton
0 - 2
Mansfield


Hart (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinn (25'), Akins (75')
Clarke (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town

A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
31.7% (-1.038 -1.04) 24.95% (0.195 0.2) 43.35% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.231 -1.23)46.51% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.167 -1.17)68.79% (1.163 1.16)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.255 -1.26)27.8% (1.252 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.634 -1.63)63.39% (1.63 1.63)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.133 -0.13)21.48% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.202 -0.2)54.51% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.7%
    Mansfield Town 43.35%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Sutton vs Mansfield

Sutton United
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
2-1
Mansfield
Neufville (44'), Fadahunsi (82')
Rowe (15'), Kizzi (37'), Thomas (56')
Hawkins (75')
O'Toole (28'), Quinn (68')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Mansfield
2-3
Sutton
Goodliffe (78' og.), Longstaff (90+7')
Quinn (57')
Bugiel (9'), Ajiboye (49'), Bennett (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sutton
2-0
Mansfield
John (4'), Bugiel (69')

Hawkins (5'), Stirk (32'), Clarke (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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