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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.7% ( -1.04) | 24.95% ( 0.2) | 43.35% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -1.23) | 46.51% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -1.17) | 68.79% ( 1.16) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -1.26) | 27.8% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( -1.63) | 63.39% ( 1.63) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( -0.13) | 21.48% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% ( -0.2) | 54.51% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |