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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Mansfield Town

Sutton
0 - 2
Mansfield


Hart (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinn (25'), Akins (75')
Clarke (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town

A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
31.7% (-1.038 -1.04) 24.95% (0.195 0.2) 43.35% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.231 -1.23)46.51% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.167 -1.17)68.79% (1.163 1.16)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.255 -1.26)27.8% (1.252 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.634 -1.63)63.39% (1.63 1.63)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.133 -0.13)21.48% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.202 -0.2)54.51% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.7%
    Mansfield Town 43.35%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Sutton vs Mansfield

Sutton United
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
2-1
Mansfield
Neufville (44'), Fadahunsi (82')
Rowe (15'), Kizzi (37'), Thomas (56')
Hawkins (75')
O'Toole (28'), Quinn (68')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Mansfield
2-3
Sutton
Goodliffe (78' og.), Longstaff (90+7')
Quinn (57')
Bugiel (9'), Ajiboye (49'), Bennett (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sutton
2-0
Mansfield
John (4'), Bugiel (69')

Hawkins (5'), Stirk (32'), Clarke (72')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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