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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Mansfield Town

Sutton
0 - 2
Mansfield


Hart (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinn (25'), Akins (75')
Clarke (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town

A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
31.7% (-1.038 -1.04) 24.95% (0.195 0.2) 43.35% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.231 -1.23)46.51% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.167 -1.17)68.79% (1.163 1.16)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.255 -1.26)27.8% (1.252 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.634 -1.63)63.39% (1.63 1.63)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.133 -0.13)21.48% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.202 -0.2)54.51% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.7%
    Mansfield Town 43.35%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Sutton vs Mansfield

Sutton United
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
2-1
Mansfield
Neufville (44'), Fadahunsi (82')
Rowe (15'), Kizzi (37'), Thomas (56')
Hawkins (75')
O'Toole (28'), Quinn (68')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Mansfield
2-3
Sutton
Goodliffe (78' og.), Longstaff (90+7')
Quinn (57')
Bugiel (9'), Ajiboye (49'), Bennett (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sutton
2-0
Mansfield
John (4'), Bugiel (69')

Hawkins (5'), Stirk (32'), Clarke (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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