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Charlton Athletic
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Valley
Sutton United

Charlton
3 - 0
Sutton

Taylor (11'), McGrandles (50'), May (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Charlton Athletic and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cray Valley 1-6 Charlton
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Sutton United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawSutton United
59.11% (-0.394 -0.39) 21.29% (0.145 0.15) 19.6% (0.245 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)40.75% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (-0.311 -0.31)63.13% (0.307 0.31)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)13.47% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (-0.432 -0.43)40.47% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.073999999999998 0.07)34.44% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)71.15% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 59.11%
    Sutton United 19.6%
    Draw 21.29%
Charlton AthleticDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.6%

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