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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Mansfield Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Mansfield

Young (38', 90+3')
Young (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akins (49')
Maris (37')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
28.51% (0.17 0.17) 22.57% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 48.92% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 63.19% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)59.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.087999999999994 0.09)25.2% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.126 0.13)59.93% (-0.134 -0.13)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)15.52% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (-0.166 -0.17)44.43% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 28.51%
    Mansfield Town 48.92%
    Draw 22.57%
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.51%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 48.92%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swindon
2-4
Mansfield
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Williams (86')
Quinn (13'), Akins (32'), Oates (33'), Boateng (65')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Mansfield
2-5
Swindon
Gordon (1'), Swan (30')
Williams (7', 35'), Jephcott (51'), Darcy (68'), Gladwin (85' pen.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
3-2
Swindon
Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')
McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
1-0
Mansfield
Simpson (59')
Kesler (75'), Odimayo (88'), McKirdy (90+3')

Clarke (37')
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Mansfield
P-P
Swindon
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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