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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
28.51% ( 0.17) | 22.57% ( 0.03) | 48.92% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 63.19% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% ( -0.04) | 37.13% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% ( -0.05) | 59.33% ( 0.04) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.79% ( 0.09) | 25.2% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% ( 0.13) | 59.93% ( -0.13) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( -0.09) | 15.52% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.56% ( -0.17) | 44.43% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 48.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |