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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Sutton United |
65.72% ( -0.44) | 19.83% ( 0.11) | 14.44% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.57% ( 0.24) | 43.42% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% ( 0.24) | 65.81% ( -0.24) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% ( -0.05) | 12.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.76% ( -0.11) | 38.23% ( 0.1) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.76% ( 0.63) | 42.24% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.35% ( 0.54) | 78.64% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Sutton United |
2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 65.72% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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