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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Sutton
1 - 1
Tranmere

John (88')
Smith (45+1'), Coley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goodliffe (17' og.)
Wood (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With so much at stake at the bottom of the table, this could be a scrappy encounter, although both teams have at least claimed positive results heading into the clash. Sutton showed excellent spirit to come from behind to claim a point against Colchester last time out, and we can envisage them sharing the spoils once again versus Adkins' Tranmere side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
56.36% (1.578 1.58) 23.29% (-0.362 -0.36) 20.34% (-1.209 -1.21)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.052 0.05)48.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)70.63% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (0.592 0.59)17.01% (-0.585 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (1.033 1.03)47.14% (-1.026 -1.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86% (-1.194 -1.19)38.14% (1.201 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-1.172 -1.17)74.9% (1.179 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 56.35%
    Tranmere Rovers 20.34%
    Draw 23.29%
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.359 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.107 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.34%

How you voted: Sutton vs Tranmere

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
45.5%
Tranmere Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Tranmere
2-2
Sutton
Hawkes (39'), Hemmings (58')
Smith (11', 61')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sutton
0-2
Tranmere
Hemmings (19' pen.), Lewis (45+4')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sutton
1-1
Tranmere
Goodliffe (15')
Hawkes (68')
Nevitt (47')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Tranmere
0-1
Sutton
Olaofe (71')
Goodliffe (66'), Bennett (82')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-3
Tranmere
Davis (25')
Collins (42'), Eastmond (54'), Downer (61'), Walton (94')
Buxton (10'), Jennings (44'), Cook (90')
Buxton (40'), Banks (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall402012870462472
2Bradford CityBradford4020101052341870
3Port Vale401913851381370
4Notts County4019111061392268
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster3919101059461367
6AFC Wimbledon4018111153312265
7Grimsby Town40195165457-362
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe40151694739861
9Colchester UnitedColchester40141794840859
10Chesterfield3916101361451658
11Salford City391512124844457
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood401414125749856
13Bromley401314135251153
14Swindon TownSwindon401215135757051
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham401311165159-850
16BarrowBarrow401310174447-349
17Newport CountyNewport40138194965-1647
18MK Dons40137205162-1146
19Gillingham391112163341-845
20Harrogate TownHarrogate40129193351-1845
21Accrington StanleyAccrington401012184659-1342
22Tranmere RoversTranmere40913183258-2640
23Morecambe40106243657-2136
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle40710233161-3031


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