League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Sutton5 - 1Notts County
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Sutton United 0-2 Notts County
Notts County racked up an incredible 107 points in the National League last season, and fifth-tier sides have a history of adapting well to life in League Two, with the likes of Tranmere Rovers and Bristol Rovers achieving back-to-back promotions in recent years. Williams has also strengthened his squad considerably with some high-profile signings, so we expect them to get their season off to the perfect start against a Sutton United side that was very poor at the back end of the previous season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
20.68% ( -3.18) | 22.32% ( 0.16) | 57% ( 3.03) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -4.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -4.56) | 43.89% ( 4.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( -4.61) | 66.28% ( 4.61) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% ( -5.41) | 35.16% ( 5.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.09% ( -6.1) | 71.91% ( 6.1) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.57) | 15.18% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.21% ( -1.1) | 43.79% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Sutton United 20.68%
Notts County 57%
Draw 22.31%
| Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.58)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.68% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.99)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.73)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1.7) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 9.49% ( 1.45)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.8)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.53)1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.33)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.29)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.64% Total : 57% |
How you voted: Sutton vs Notts County
Sutton United
25.0%Draw
0.0%Notts County
75.0%16
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
