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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Chesterfield
National League
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
FT
(aet)
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
40.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 40.28%
    Notts County 37.01%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet24154550292149
2York City23146347202748
3Forest Green RoversForest Green23138241192247
4Gateshead24145549311847
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale22123734201439
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2411584336738
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
10Yeovil TownYeovil2410593027335
11Eastleigh238963230233
12Sutton UnitedSutton249693332133
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool248972929033
14Southend UnitedSouthend247982827130
15Tamworth238692639-1330
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red237793733428
17Woking2467112335-1225
18Aldershot TownAldershot2459103442-824
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2465132335-1223
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2465133046-1623
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2416171758-419
> National League Full Table


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