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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Chesterfield
National League
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
FT
(aet)
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
40.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 40.28%
    Notts County 37.01%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City19125237142341
2Forest Green RoversForest Green19125237162141
3Barnet19131540231740
4Gateshead19114435241137
5Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Solihull MoorsSolihull198473532328
9Yeovil TownYeovil198472120128
10AltrinchamAltrincham197662925427
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh196762626025
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool196762224-225
14Tamworth197482233-1125
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red195773124722
16Southend UnitedSouthend195772224-222
17Aldershot TownAldershot195772530-522
18Woking195591926-720
19WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
20Braintree TownBraintree1954101523-819
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1944112136-1516
23Boston UnitedBoston1935111932-1314
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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