League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Sutton1 - 1Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United
Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Carlisle United |
28.82% ( -0.07) | 29.21% ( 0.01) | 41.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
