Tranmere Rovers are yet to pick up a single point away from home in League Two, and they have failed to beat Crewe away from home in the league since October 1999.
As such, we expect the hosts to pick up a relatively comfortable victory this weekend, keeping them in the hunt for the automatic promotion places.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.
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