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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Sutton United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Sutton

Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Sutton United

 While showing some inconsistent form, Wrexham have been free-scoring at home, something that has remained constant from last season's success. Sutton are really struggling, and it would be a major turn-up if they were to take anything from this one against one of the favourites for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawSutton United
67.68% (0.96000000000001 0.96) 17.68% (-0.264 -0.26) 14.64% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 59.1% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (-0.235 -0.23)32.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.63% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)54.37% (0.276 0.28)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)8.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (0.36999999999999 0.37)30.39% (-0.364 -0.36)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-1.024 -1.02)35.14% (1.029 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-1.086 -1.09)71.89% (1.091 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 67.68%
    Sutton United 14.64%
    Draw 17.68%
WrexhamDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.101 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Sutton

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 54
Wrexham
1-0
Sutton
Kennedy (78')
Young (71')

Eastmond (10')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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