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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Morecambe |
46.05% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.14) | 51.79% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.12) | 73.55% ( -0.13) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( 0.11) | 22.46% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( 0.16) | 56% ( -0.17) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( 0.01) | 33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( 0.02) | 69.59% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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