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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
38.99% ( 0.02) | 24.71% ( 0) | 36.31% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.68% ( -0.03) | 44.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% ( -0.02) | 66.7% ( 0.03) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.37% ( 0) | 22.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.75% ( 0) | 56.25% ( 0) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.03) | 24.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.04) | 58.29% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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