Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.