Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.23% ( 0.17) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 32.81% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.72% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% ( -0.23) | 50.56% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% ( -0.21) | 72.48% ( 0.21) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( -0.02) | 58.61% ( 0.03) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% ( -0.25) | 29.08% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% ( -0.31) | 65% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |