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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Salford City |
40.1% ( -3.13) | 23.87% ( 0.11) | 36.03% ( 3.02) |
Both teams to score 61.85% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% ( 0.19) | 40.32% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% ( 0.2) | 62.7% ( -0.2) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -1.31) | 20.35% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -2.13) | 52.74% ( 2.12) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% ( 1.75) | 22.35% ( -1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% ( 2.55) | 55.84% ( -2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.43) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.22) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |