Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.