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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Newport County |
57.96% (![]() | 20.63% (![]() | 21.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.96% (![]() | 35.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.02% (![]() | 11.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.61% (![]() | 37.39% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% (![]() | 29.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% (![]() | 65.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |