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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
36.78% (0.561 0.56) 24.86% (-0.113 -0.11) 38.36% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.572 0.57)45% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.547 0.55)67.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.572 0.57)24.08% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.806 0.81)58.37% (-0.802 -0.8)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.038000000000004 0.04)57.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.78%
    Wrexham 38.36%
    Draw 24.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Accrington vs Wrexham

Accrington Stanley
16.0%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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