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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

 Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
36.78% (0.561 0.56) 24.86% (-0.113 -0.11) 38.36% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.572 0.57)45% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.547 0.55)67.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.572 0.57)24.08% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.806 0.81)58.37% (-0.802 -0.8)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.038000000000004 0.04)57.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.78%
    Wrexham 38.36%
    Draw 24.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Accrington vs Wrexham

Accrington Stanley
16.0%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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